Time Series Terminal’s Newsletter

Time Series Terminal’s Newsletter

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History of US national (federal) debt and how they relate to trade imbalance
They are not directly related but have a common component.
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Time Series Terminal
2025-05: Tariff threat, semiconductor driving US equity; semiconductor, utility (inflation) driving Western Europe equity; semiconductor…
As of Thu 29 May market close, tsterm.com identifies causally predictive factors
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Time Series Terminal
CPRT used car auction service floats to top driving factor 2 days before US tariff on auto parts comes into effect
CPRT joins the top four driving factors for the three US stock indices since 2025-05-01 market close.
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Time Series Terminal

April 2025

2025-04: Volatile semiconductor/tech driving US stock indices
The gaming stock Take-Two TTWO is an interesting driver.
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Time Series Terminal
JPMorgan JPM: tsterm.com computed daily position starts shaving off since October 2024, realising higher Sharpe ratio (return-to-risk ratio)
The daily position stayed stable until October 2024 (one month before US General Election) when it started shaving off.
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Time Series Terminal
War and liberal economics: tsterm.com's analysis of the US dollar to China Yuan exchange rate
By rolling back tariff to 10%, most international revenue of US companies got protected, as well as Chinese investment outside China.
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Time Series Terminal
How fast can Buffett sell his stock portfolio down to zero holding?
Up to 1 year, generally.
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Time Series Terminal

March 2025

How to find Buffett's AAPL holding from SEC.gov?
The news says that Buffett has sold 70% of AAPL from its peak holding.
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Time Series Terminal
2025-03: semiconductor resetting to 2023-2024 level, some consumer service resetting to 2020 level driving US equity 6 months out
NVDA, SNPS resetting to 2023-2024 level, UPS resetting to 2020 level driving US equity 6 months out.
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Time Series Terminal
Velocity of money: how many times one dollar changes hand in an economy
Wikipedia defines “velocity of money” as “the number of times that one unit of currency is used to purchase goods and services within a given time…
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Time Series Terminal

February 2025

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