Time Series Terminal’s Newsletter

2025-10: AAPL and pharmaceutical continue driving US equity

Since August, AAPL has been computed to be driving US equity —

Oct 31 • 

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Apple's machine learning library MLX

This is an article comparing machine learning libraries: Google’s TensorFlow, Apple’s MLX, and our micrograd.

Oct 1 • 

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September 2025

2025-09: AAPL and pharmaceutical driving US stocks

Apple AAPL and Abbott Laboratories ABT are computed as the top two causally predictive factors of the prices of the three US stock index ETFs.

Sep 30 • 

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August 2025

2025-08: AAPL steadily building AI capability driving US stocks

AAPL is driving the prices of US stocks, and global assets, in 6 months, as computed by tsterm.com methodology.

Aug 31 • 

Time Series Terminal

A rare talk on history of US currencies, capital markets

Origins of the Capital Markets, by David Cowen, President of the Museum of American Finance

Aug 15 • 

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July 2025

Correction: Moody's rating of the United States is Aa1

Moody’s lowers the US rating from the perfect Aaa to Aa1, May 2025 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4ge0xk4ld1o

Jul 30 • 

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2025-07: Credit risk driving US equity: credit rating of AAPL, MSFT, NVDA as good as US financial stocks

The credit rating agency S&P Global Inc SPGI has remained as top computed causal predictor for the US three stock indices over last one month (forecast…

Jul 30 • 

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June 2025

Gold vs Nasdaq 100 vs S&P 500. US stocks driven by tariff threat. Global assets driven by US payroll. Iran and neighbouring countries…

As supply chain is perturbed, in order to maintain the same profitability, American businesses may resort to laying off employees.

Jun 30 • 

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May 2025

History of US national (federal) debt and how they relate to trade imbalance

They are not directly related but have a common component.

May 31 • 

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2025-05: Tariff threat, semiconductor driving US equity; semiconductor, utility (inflation) driving Western Europe equity; semiconductor…

As of Thu 29 May market close, tsterm.com identifies causally predictive factors

May 30 • 

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CPRT used car auction service floats to top driving factor 2 days before US tariff on auto parts comes into effect

CPRT joins the top four driving factors for the three US stock indices since 2025-05-01 market close.

May 4 • 

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April 2025

2025-04: Volatile semiconductor/tech driving US stock indices

The gaming stock Take-Two TTWO is an interesting driver.

Apr 29 • 

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