2025-10: AAPL and pharmaceutical continue driving US equity
Since August, AAPL has been computed to be driving US equity —
2025-08: AAPL steadily building AI capability driving US stocks
2025-09: AAPL and pharmaceutical driving US equity
The target prediction date is always the day in six months. tsterm.com is flexible and can be configured for other prediction target dates.
Causal Predictors
In October, AAPL continued upward trend, but Abbott ABT fluctuated, as top predictors for the three major US stock indices: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average).
Predictions
In terms of computed holding, since 2024 US Election and kindling of the trade war, tsterm.com became more optimistic about the Nasdaq 100 index with respect to the S&P 500 index or the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index. Indeed, since Nov 2024, Nasdaq 100 outran the other two indices.
Search for QQQ.US;SPY.US;DIA.US on tsterm.com — type the string from QQQ.US up to DIA.US including the semicolons in the search box, one will find the computed holdings in terms of number of shares,
Nasdaq 100 ETF. QQQ.US. The computed holding increased since Nov 2024. Nasdaq 100 Index is a stock index for the most innovative stocks.
S&P 500 ETF. SPY.US. The computing holding stayed down for about nine months then started bouncing upwards.
Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF. DIA.US. The computed holding stayed downward since Nov 2024, is only moving up since Gaza peace and US-China trade war walk-down this week.
Notes
tsterm.com white paper for more detail on the methodology
https://tsterm.com/static/whitepaper.html
What is a stock index? The value of a stock index is an average of the stocks it tracks.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_index
ETF is for Exchange-Traded Funds, funds traded on stock exchanged like single stocks that replicate the performance of stock indices.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange-traded_fund
Why tsterm.com does not directly source the values of stock indices? Because they are expensive, and may not be available from every data vendor.