As of 2022-03
Sorry for delay of publishing of the newsletter for this month.
TL;DR: under pressure of war, Pharma stocks became the anchor foreboding market movement
As of 2022-03-21, for 2-day ahead prediction, the most important predictive factors for 5-, 10-, 20-, 30-Year US Real Interest Rates are
Consumer Staples Sector SPDR ETF XLP (consumer)
Merck & Co MRK (pharmaceutical)
Those driving Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQ, SPDR S&P 500 ETF SPY, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF DIA are
Splunk SPLK (data processing)
American Tower AMT (real estate, telecommunications)
Meta FB (Web3)
Allstate ALL (insurance)
Johnson & Johnson JNJ (pharmaceutical)
USDCHF (currency)
Seattle Genetics, Inc. SGEN (pharmaceutical)
If we add BTCUSD, ETHUSD to the list of target variables, the driving factors become
Meta FB (Web3)
ETHUSD (cryptocurrency)
Splunk SPLK (data processing)
USDCHF (currency)