2024-12: Some tariff and security policy threats may be driving US equity
As of Saturday 21 December 2024, the computed top causal predictors driving the three US stock index ETFs QQQ.US, SPY.US, DIA.US are
AT&T T (telecommunication)
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF EWH (Hong Kong equity)
Duke Energy DUK (energy)
Precisely, they are computed as predictors for the values of the target instruments on the single day in 6 months from the calculation date 21 December 2024.
tsterm.com only computes on market prices at the moment. In the mean time, we note the following news:
Possible TP-Link ban set for 2025 (https://www.cnet.com/home/internet/possible-tp-link-ban-set-for-2025-what-it-means-for-your-internet-connection/) TP-Link is a network router much cheaper than competitors’ and won much market share
Trump’s tariff threats (https://forbes.kz/articles/can-trumps-tariff-threats-save-dollar-hegemony-2dc3c2) “Trump's threats to impose a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada if they fail to curb fentanyl smuggling into the United States, a 60% tariff on Chinese goods, and a 10-20% tariff on other trade partners.”